{"id":4510,"date":"2023-08-21T14:52:02","date_gmt":"2023-08-21T14:52:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/energyregulationquarterly.ca\/?p=4510"},"modified":"2023-08-22T13:52:03","modified_gmt":"2023-08-22T13:52:03","slug":"carbon-change-canada-on-the-brink-of-decarbonizationdennis-mcconaghy-dundurn-press-toronto-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/energyregulationquarterly.ca\/fr\/book-reviews\/carbon-change-canada-on-the-brink-of-decarbonizationdennis-mcconaghy-dundurn-press-toronto-2022","title":{"rendered":"<em>CARBON CHANGE: Canada on the Brink of Decarbonization<\/em>, Dennis McConaghy, Dundurn Press Toronto, 2022"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Dans son ouvrage de 2019\u00a0intitul\u00e9 <em>BREAKDOWN: The Pipeline Debate and the Threat to Canada\u2019s Future<\/em>,<sup>[1]<\/sup> Dennis\u00a0McConaghy a fait valoir que, malgr\u00e9 la polarisation provoqu\u00e9e par le d\u00e9bat sur la politique climatique, le Canada \u00ab\u00a0peut et doit trouver un consensus qui \u00e9quilibre une politique climatique cr\u00e9dible et proportionn\u00e9e<sup>[2]<\/sup>\u00a0\u00bb [traduction]. Trois ans plus tard, il ressort clairement du plus r\u00e9cent ouvrage de McConaghy<sup>[3]<\/sup>, <em>CARBON CHANGE: Canada on the Brink of Decarbonization<\/em>, que le Canada, \u00e0 son avis, est loin d\u2019avoir atteint cet \u00e9quilibre.<\/p>\n<p>Il convient de souligner d\u2019entr\u00e9e de jeu que McConaghy ne nie pas les changements climatiques. Au contraire\u00a0:\u00a0 \u00ab\u00a0Le risque li\u00e9 aux changements climatiques est bien r\u00e9el et inqui\u00e9tant\u2026 et il est clairement attribuable, en grande partie, \u00e0 l\u2019activit\u00e9 humaine<sup>[4]<\/sup>\u00a0\u00bb [traduction]<\/p>\n<p>Cependant, il est tout aussi cat\u00e9gorique lorsqu\u2019il affirme qu\u2019il conviendrait de revoir le point de mire de la politique climatique, \u00e0 savoir la \u00ab\u00a0d\u00e9carbonisation\u00a0\u00bb, voulant que \u00ab\u00a0les hydrocarbures ne puissent plus \u00eatre produits ou utilis\u00e9s<sup>[5]<\/sup>\u00a0\u00bb [traduction]. Il soutient plut\u00f4t que l\u2019accent devrait \u00eatre mis sur la gestion du risque de changements climatiques, en utilisant une analyse co\u00fbts-avantages \u00ab\u00a0fond\u00e9e sur un prix du carbone \u00e9tabli au moyen de taxes sur le carbone visant les activit\u00e9s productrices de GES et appliqu\u00e9es de fa\u00e7on uniforme dans les \u00e9conomies d\u00e9velopp\u00e9es du monde entier<sup>[6]<\/sup>\u00a0\u00bb [traduction]. McConaghy pr\u00e9sente des arguments convaincants.<\/p>\n<p>Premi\u00e8rement, il s\u2019attaque au processus des Nations Unies qui vise \u00e0 r\u00e9duire la concentration des gaz \u00e0 effet de serre (GES) dans l\u2019atmosph\u00e8re. Ce processus attribue des r\u00e9ductions d\u2019\u00e9missions cibl\u00e9es aux pays d\u00e9velopp\u00e9s qui sont de grands \u00e9metteurs \u00ab\u00a0tout en permettant \u00e0 d\u2019autres pays, comme la Chine et l\u2019Inde, de demeurer des \u201cresquilleurs\u201d [traduction]; le processus devrait \u00eatre \u201cr\u00e9invent\u00e9<sup>[7]<\/sup>\u201d. Au passage, il propose un examen pr\u00e9cieux de l\u2019\u00e9mergence de l\u2019approche des Nations Unies, depuis la mise sur pied du Groupe d\u2019experts intergouvernemental sur l\u2019\u00e9volution du climat (GIEC) de l\u2019ONU en 1988, jusqu\u2019au Protocole de Kyoto de 1997 et \u00e0 l\u2019Accord de Paris de 2015 \u00e0 la Conf\u00e9rence des Parties de Glasgow de 2021, et montre comment les \u00ab\u00a0cibles\u00a0\u00bb pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes se sont transform\u00e9es en \u00ab\u00a0d\u00e9carbonisation\u00a0\u00bb. Il souligne par ailleurs les r\u00e9percussions que ces \u00e9volutions du processus des Nations Unies ont entra\u00een\u00e9es sur les projets d\u2019infrastructure \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique propos\u00e9s au Canada, particuli\u00e8rement au cours de la p\u00e9riode de 2019 \u00e0 mars\u00a02020<sup>[8]<\/sup>.<\/p>\n<p>Deuxi\u00e8mement, McConaghy soutient\u00a0:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">La d\u00e9carbonisation est tout simplement trop co\u00fbteuse par rapport au risque couru par l\u2019humanit\u00e9. L\u2019humanit\u00e9 aurait avantage \u00e0 tol\u00e9rer un certain risque de ph\u00e9nom\u00e8nes m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques extr\u00eames et des discontinuit\u00e9s \u00e0 incidence \u00e9lev\u00e9e, mais moins probables, dans le climat mondial<sup>[9]<\/sup> [traduction].<\/p>\n<p>Il souligne que le processus de l\u2019ONU n\u2019a jamais pr\u00e9cis\u00e9 le co\u00fbt net de la d\u00e9carbonisation<sup>[10]<\/sup> et mentionne la conclusion d\u2019un rapport de McKinsey Consulting publi\u00e9 en 2022 selon laquelle l\u2019atteinte de la carboneutralit\u00e9 n\u2019exigerait rien de moins que \u00ab\u00a0une transformation de l\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale<sup>[11]<\/sup>\u00a0\u00bb [traduction].<\/p>\n<p>McConaghy tire \u00e9galement des le\u00e7ons instructives de la comparaison des r\u00e9ponses strat\u00e9giques au d\u00e9fi que pr\u00e9sentent les changements climatiques avec les r\u00e9ponses \u00e0 la pand\u00e9mie de COVID-19, \u00e0 compter de 2020. Dans les deux cas \u00ab\u00a0des actions ind\u00e9pendantes et sans contrainte de la part de particuliers, d\u2019entreprises ou d\u2019\u00c9tats peuvent cr\u00e9er des risques et des dommages collat\u00e9raux pour d\u2019autres \u2014 refuser la vaccination dans le cas de la COVID-19; consommer de plus en plus d\u2019hydrocarbures dans le cas des changements climatiques<sup>[12]<\/sup>\u00a0\u00bb [traduction]. N\u2019emp\u00eache, bien que la COVID-19 \u00ab\u00a0pr\u00e9sente un risque imm\u00e9diat pour la quasi-totalit\u00e9 de l\u2019humanit\u00e9<sup>[13]<\/sup>\u00a0\u00bb [traduction], celle-ci accepte le risque r\u00e9siduel qui d\u00e9coule de la r\u00e9alisation qu\u2019un objectif d\u2019\u00e9limination compl\u00e8te de la COVID-19 n\u2019est pas raisonnable<sup>[14]<\/sup>. Il pose la question\u00a0: \u00ab\u00a0Cette r\u00e9alit\u00e9 peut-elle justifier de vivre avec une augmentation de la temp\u00e9rature mondiale de 3\u00a0\u00b0C<sup>[15]<\/sup>\u00a0? \u00bb [traduction] Il remarque que, malgr\u00e9 le \u00ab\u00a0langage fleuri\u00a0\u00bb utilis\u00e9 pour d\u00e9crire les changements climatiques comme une \u00ab\u00a0crise\u00a0\u00bb, une \u00ab\u00a0catastrophe\u00a0\u00bb, un \u00ab\u00a0code rouge pour l\u2019humanit\u00e9\u00a0\u00bb et une \u00ab\u00a0menace existentielle\u00a0\u00bb, le GIEC n\u2019a jamais explicitement d\u00e9clar\u00e9 qu\u2019une augmentation de 3\u00a0\u00b0C se traduirait par l\u2019extinction humaine<sup>[16]<\/sup>. Apr\u00e8s avoir examin\u00e9 le pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent \u00e9tabli par certains \u00e9l\u00e9ments de la r\u00e9ponse du Canada \u00e0 la COVID-19, il s\u2019inqui\u00e8te de la possibilit\u00e9 d\u2019un \u00ab\u00a0confinement climatique\u00a0\u00bb comme compl\u00e9ment logique \u00e0 l\u2019objectif principal de d\u00e9carbonisation, sans qu\u2019on en ait analys\u00e9 les co\u00fbts et les avantages<sup>[17]<\/sup>.<\/p>\n<p>Le d\u00e9bat climatique est l\u2019une des manifestations les plus extr\u00eames de la polarisation destructrice qui contamine une grande partie de la soci\u00e9t\u00e9, impr\u00e9gn\u00e9e de z\u00e8le, d\u2019intol\u00e9rance et de d\u00e9ni. De toute \u00e9vidence, les changements climatiques repr\u00e9sentent un d\u00e9fi mondial s\u00e9rieux auquel il faut r\u00e9pondre de fa\u00e7on rationnelle et \u00e9clair\u00e9e. <em>BREAKDOWN: The Pipeline Debate and the Threat to Canada\u2019s Future <\/em>devrait apporter une contribution inestimable \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9laboration d\u2019une telle r\u00e9ponse.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"footnote\">* Conseiller en r\u00e9glementation de l\u2019\u00e9nergie, codirecteur de la r\u00e9daction, <em>Publication trimestrielle sur la r\u00e9glementation de l\u2019\u00e9nergie<\/em>.<\/p>\n<ol class=\"footnote\">\n<li>Rowland J. Harrison, c.r.,\u00a0 \u00ab\u00a0<em>BREAKDOWN: The Pipeline Debate and the Threat to Canada\u2019s Future<\/em>, Dennis McConaghy, Dundurn Toronto, 2019\u00a0\u00bb (2019) 7:4 Publication trimestrielle sur la r\u00e8glementation\u00a0 de l\u2019\u00e9nergie, en ligne\u00a0: <em>ERQ<\/em> &lt;<a href=\"https:\/\/energyregulationquarterly.ca\/fr\/book-reviews\/breakdown-the-pipeline-debate-and-the-threat-to-canadas-future-dennis-mcconaghy-dundurn-toronto-2019\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">energyregulationquarterly.ca\/fr\/book-reviews\/breakdown-the-pipeline-debate-and-the-threat-to-canadas-future-dennis-mcconaghy-dundurn-toronto-2019<\/a>&gt;.<\/li>\n<li><em>Ibid<\/em> \u00e0 la p 5.<\/li>\n<li>Voir aussi Dennis McConaghy, \u00ab <em>DYSFUNCTION<\/em>: Canada after Keystone XL Dennis McConaghy, Dundurn Toronto, 2017 \u00bb (2017) 5:2 Publication trimestrielle sur la r\u00e8glementation\u00a0 de l\u2019\u00e9nergie, en ligne : <em>ERQ<\/em> &lt;<a href=\"https:\/\/energyregulationquarterly.ca\/fr\/book-reviews\/dysfunction-canada-after-keystone-xl-dennis-mcconaghy-dundurn-toronto-2017\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">energyregulationquarterly.ca\/fr\/book-reviews\/dysfunction-canada-after-keystone-xl-dennis-mcconaghy-dundurn-toronto-2017<\/a>&gt;.<\/li>\n<li>Dennis McConaghy, <em>CARBON CHANGE: Canada on the Brink of Decarbonization<\/em> (Toronto, Ontario : Dundurn, 2022), \u00e0 la p 2.<\/li>\n<li><em>Ibid<\/em> \u00e0 la p 1.<\/li>\n<li><em>Ibid<\/em> \u00e0 la p 3.<\/li>\n<li><em>Ibid<\/em> \u00e0 la p 2.<\/li>\n<li>McConaghy \u00e9tait le membre de l\u2019\u00e9quipe de direction de TransCanada ayant pour principale responsabilit\u00e9 le projet Keystone XL Project, <em>supra<\/em> note 3.<\/li>\n<li><em>Supra<\/em> note 4 \u00e0 la p 41.<\/li>\n<li><em>Ibid<\/em> \u00e0 la p 130.<\/li>\n<li><em>Ibid<\/em> \u00e0 la p 37.<\/li>\n<li><em>Ibid<\/em> \u00e0 la p 120.<\/li>\n<li><em>Ibid<\/em> \u00e0 la p 131.<\/li>\n<li><em>Ibid<\/em> \u00e0 la p 129.<\/li>\n<li><em>Ibid<\/em>.<\/li>\n<li><em>Ibid<\/em> \u00e0 la p 130.<\/li>\n<li><em>Ibid<\/em> \u00e0 la p\u00a0139.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dans son ouvrage de 2019\u00a0intitul\u00e9 BREAKDOWN: The Pipeline Debate and the Threat to Canada\u2019s Future,[1] Dennis\u00a0McConaghy a fait valoir que, malgr\u00e9 la polarisation provoqu\u00e9e par le d\u00e9bat sur la politique climatique, le Canada \u00ab\u00a0peut et doit trouver un consensus qui [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[],"coauthors":[20],"class_list":["post-4510","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-book-reviews","volume-volume-11-issue-2-2023"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - 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